最佳比特币采矿比较. Hashflare与Genesis Mining
比特币云挖矿比较表. 审查的顶级云采矿合同

这些 4 关键的比特币价格指标清楚地反映了交易者’ 看涨乐观

As Bitcoin (BTC) price tested the $17,580 low on Dec. 11, investors remained relatively calm despite some analysts issuing bearish estimates. Last week’s trading may have finished at the same level where it started, but the fundamentals for Bitcoin have become even stronger.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart. 资源: TradingView

Each time Bitcoin makes a new high, investors expect some form of correction. Despite failing to break through the $24,000 抵抗性, the price quickly bounced from its sub- $22,000 dip on Dec. 21. This event might have given sellers some hope, but looking under the hood, there is not a single sign of weakness sign.

In the past week, Bitcoin dominance continued to gain as it climbed from 64.3% 至 67.3%. This move was aided by the Dubai-based financial advisory firm deVere Group’s $46,000 prediction for 2021. 此外, 该 Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) surpassed $1.3 billion of futures contracts. This creates indisputable evidence of the growing institutional participation in BTC markets.

This news appears to have given further confidence to investors, causing Bitcoin to reach a new $24,300 all-time high on Dec. 20.

Top-16 cryptocurrencies weekly performance. 资源: Nomics & 币市值

In the past week, Bitcoin outperformed the top-15 altcoins, which climbed 7.7% 一般. 更重要的是, the volume from altcoins has been disappointing compared to Bitcoin’s 50% 增加. This indicator strengthens the recent dominance performance, as does BTC establishing $22,500 as a new support.

Institutional investors accumulate while Bitcoin price consolidates

Crypto fund manager Grayscale Investments also continued to aggressively add BTC to their portfolio which now contains $13.3 十亿比特币.

Grayscale Investments BTC holdings. 资源: bybt.com

Over the past week, 11,620 BTC were added, totaling 576,650 BTC. 因此, it was another excellent week for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust. Similar excitement can be seen by analyzing the fund’s premium over the effective BTC held by each share, which currently sits at 0.00095064 BTC.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust premium. 资源: TradingView and Grayscale

As shown above, the premium increased from 18% 至 40% in the past seven days. This extraordinary level can be partially explained by a temporary suspension of new shares being issued.

Albeit unusual, a similar move occurred six months ago. By halting the offer to institutional clients, any additional demand needs to be met by secondary sales, thus creating pressure for a larger premium.

Perpetual futures funding is holding steady

Perpetual contracts, also known as inverse swaps, have an embedded rate that is usually charged every eight hours. Funding rates ensure there are no exchange risk imbalances. Even though both buyers and sellersopen interest is matched at all times, the leverage can vary.

When buyers (longs) are the ones demanding more leverage, the funding rate turns positive. 因此, the buyers will be the ones paying up the fees. This issue holds especially true during bull runs, when there is usually more demand for longs.

Sustainable rates above 2% per week translate to extreme optimism. This level is acceptable during market rallies but problematic if the BTC price is sideways or in a downtrend.

In situations like these, high leverage from buyers increases the likelihood of large liquidations when the price drops abruptly.

BTC perpetual futures funding rates. 资源: Digital Assets Data

Take notice how, despite Bitcoin’s weakness on Dec. 21, the weekly funding rate managed to avoid the negative territory. This data indicates that both short (卖) and long (购买) traders use roughly the same leverage.

This is a neutral reading, as both sides have powder left to increase their bets.

Social network activity peaked

BTC Twitter user activity vs. USD price. 资源: TheTie

Data from TheTie also shows that a recent BTC price increase occurred while tweets related to ‘Bitcoin’ reached the highest level seen since Dec. 2017. Despite the recent correction on the social activity indicator, the current level remains 10% higher than the previous month.

While a significant bump in Twitter activity does not necessarily equal vigorous retail buying it certainly helps to gather more attention as the cryptocurrency continues its uptrend.

Options put-to-call ratio

The best way to gauge overall market sentiment is to measure whether more activity is going through call (购买) options or put (卖) options. 一般来说, call options are used for bullish strategies, whereas put options are for bearish ones.

一个 0.70 put-to-call ratio indicates that put options open interest lag the more bullish calls by 30% and is therefore bullish.

In contrast, 一个 1.20 indicator favors put options by 20%, which can be deemed bearish. One thing to note is that the metric aggregates the entire BTC options market, including all calendar months.

BTC options put-to-call ratio. 资源: Cryptorank.io

As Bitcoin price broke $20,000, investors rushed to seek downside protection. 结果是, the put-to-call ratio peaked at 1.08 12月. 19. The very unusual level favoring the more neutral-to-bearish strategies reverted soon after, as the indicator returned to 0.60.

This shows that investors optimism was not harmed by the 10% price correction that followed the $24,200 历来最高.

Bitcoin is holding $22,500 while traders remain optimistic

总体, each of the indicators discussed have quickly returned to a neutral-to-bullish range and this relatively positive given that the market recently tested a $21,910 低.

As BTC holds above $22,500, investors are quickly regaining their confidence whilend the consistent bounces back from each dip are a positive sign.

这里表达的观点和意见仅是 author 并且不一定反映Cointelegraph的意见. 每一个投资和交易举动有风险. 在作出决定时应该进行自己的研究.

文章Cointelegraph

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